Christophe Baeté, Elsyca NV.
The dynamic evolution of the energy sector, driven by the expansion of renewable wind and solar energy sources, long-distance high-voltage direct current (HVDC) systems, and high-speed AC trains, presents pipeline operators with a complex set of challenges to ensure the integrity and safety of their infrastructure. While these third-party systems can lead to various operational risks, including corrosion on the pipeline and hazardous shocks to personnel, most of them are not announced in advance, requiring operators to adopt innovative and proactive approaches in their risk mitigation strategies. Mechanistic modeling solutions can support operators in navigating this shifting landscape effectively by empowering them to make informed decisions, enhance safety, and optimize their infrastructures.
Among the many benefits of adopting mechanistic modeling solutions in today’s operators' toolkit, one can highlight the following. Accuracy and Precision: mechanistic or deterministic models are physics-based providing results at joint level. Real-time Monitoring: Integrating with IoT sensors, mechanistic models offer real-time assessments of AC/DC-induced risks. The creation of this digital twin enables operators to respond proactively to emerging threats, minimizing downtime and maintenance costs. Market Adaptability: These models can adapt to fluctuations in power generation sources and demand patterns, enabling operators to optimize infrastructure and reduce operational expenses. Cost-efficiency: By offering precise predictions and targeted mitigation strategies, mechanistic models assist operators in resource allocation, minimizing maintenance overhead while ensuring asset longevity. Compliance and Safety: As regulatory requirements tighten, mechanistic models provide comprehensive data and evidence of compliance, enhancing overall safety. Different case studies will demonstrate the ability of mechanistic modeling to deliver high-value and empowering insights to operators on how to prevent threats from solar and wind farms, HVDC, and conventional AC energy corridors.